Summer Movie Wager
Every year for the past eleven years there has been a ‘Summer Movie Wager’ amongst film podcasts. It has probably been going even longer but I started paying attention to it when it was first featured on the Totally Rad Show, a now defunct video podcast hosted by Alex Albrecht (Diggnation) Jeff Cannata (We Have Concerns) and Dan Trachtenberg. (10 Cloverfield Lane)
They would do it every year with the loser having to wash the other guys cars. After a few years some of the staff of slashfilm.com started getting involved too and when TRS came to an end the Summer Movie Wager continued on being hosted by the guys on the slashfilmcast.
Eventually Jeff actually joined that podcast as well so they had one of the original group on board too.
Last year they put a call out to any aspiring web developers to see if they could get some sort of tracking site together so that people could easily join in without having to keep track manually. A few people stepped up but the one that stood out and has become the primary home of the competition is thesummermoviewager.com
When we had our podcast running, Sara and I both participated but had to alter the scoring and rules for our own audience and it became very complicated, I’ve decided to just use the standardised one now and if you want to join in I think you should do the same.
The rules are fairly simple, rank what you believe will be the top ten highest grossing movies of the summer. We are going by US domestic box office totals only as recorded by boxofficemojo.com and the wager runs from the opening weekend of Avengers Infinity War through to Labor Day weekend in September so release dates and length of time in the running should be accounted for.
The wager is scored by accuracy of list, you get max points if you nail the exact position of a film and the score goes down for every position further from where you had it on the list. There are bonus points for getting the first and tenth movies dead on too.
You also have three ‘dark horses’ at your disposal, these are worth one point if they appear anywhere on the top ten but the aim is to get your top ten as accurate as possible.
It is a really fun game and really gets you having to put your feelings for movies aside and thinking about what will actually make the most money. I found half of my list easy and the other half a wild guess.
If you want to join in you have until next Wednesday to submit your lists on the website. I’d love to see what you think. Here is my Projected top ten.
1. Avengers Infinity War
We all know that baring some miracle that know one could project this movie should win out not just the summer but the whole year.
2. Solo: A Star Wars Story
I went with my heart here, most people have Jurassic, but I wanted to be a little different and I'm hoping this rocks.
3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
A lot of people hated the last one and think this looks like shit, I happened to really enjoy World and while I'm worried this looks like The Lost World on crack I hope it is good. It will probably make bank either way.
4. The Incredibles 2
No Good poster for this one yet? I know most people regard the original as one of Pixars best, but it has been fourteen years! People who were kids then may well have kids of their own now. It'll probably be a lot of fun and is definitely THE family movie of the summer.
5. Deadpool 2
I'm not a fan of the character from most of the comics I've read with him in so I really doubted the first one, when I got round to watching it though I did thoroughly enjoy it and it really connected with people. I expect diminishing returns with this but I could see it making about exactly what the first one did, just in a shorter span of time before the drop off happens.
6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
Straight up action always plays well in the summer even if Tom Cruise isn't the box office draw he once was. This franchise is still much loved and the latest entry looks like a lot of fun.
7. Ocean’s Eight
The placement of this one was tricky, I think it looks good and if it can capture the magic of the first one with Clooney, Pitt and Damon then they're on for a winner. This could take the female led comedy/action slot very easily... Or it might tank.
8. Ant Man & The Wasp
This comes out late in the summer and after Infinity War, the first one did fine but I don't think people are going to be clambering for this sequel. It's a super hero heavy summer and this might suffer from a little bit of fatigue. I hope it stays fun though.
9. Hotel Transylvania 3
It's a kids movie from a franchise that always seems to make some money. Thats my entire knowledge of this film. Parents will want more than just Pixar to distract their little ones.
This looks pretty shocking but you can't count out The Rock and the sheer audacity of the premise/poster.
- The Meg
- Teen Titans Go! To The Movies
Isn't it sad that the only 'original' property on my top ten is fucking Skyscraper?!
I’ll see you tomorrow!